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Red133
663394.3
5467135.8
686284.3
Blue118
6057104.5
4737133.2
485497.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236243100150200300350400450133118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5467
#18
135.88.1
85.793.8
Auto16.0
Teleop103.2
End16.4
red by 2.6
4737
#17
133.212.3
91.3103.6
Auto13.3
Teleop104.1
End16.8
Second
6633
#33
94.39.4
80.589.9
Auto12.3
Teleop73.1
End8.9
blue by 10.1
6057
#30
104.58.3
85.493.8
Auto13.1
Teleop83.2
End12.4
Third
6862
#36
84.310.7
77.788.4
Auto12.2
Teleop71.2
End1.3
blue by 12.7
4854
#26
97.07.8
75.483.2
Auto13.9
Teleop78.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed