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Red359
33184.0
3538185.1
5467135.8
Blue213
1701150.1
5531161.7
835112.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402283100200500600700359213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.10.8
182.1182.9
Auto26.1
Teleop137.8
End21.6
red by 23.4
161.70.5
160.7161.2
Auto15.7
Teleop124.1
End23.3
Second
33
#3
184.00.7
181.3182.0
Auto23.0
Teleop136.3
End25.9
red by 33.8
1701
#11
150.10.4
149.5149.9
Auto17.9
Teleop107.7
End26.7
Third
5467
#18
135.80.5
134.0134.5
Auto16.0
Teleop103.2
End16.4
red by 23.2
835
#20
112.60.4
111.8112.2
Auto13.1
Teleop92.5
End7.0