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Red411
4362185.0
67210.2
2676107.9
Blue283
2337184.1
5460186.2
5555140.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363366250300350400450500411283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
210.20.6
208.9209.6
Auto28.0
Teleop137.2
End47.9
red by 24.0
186.20.3
185.6186.0
Auto22.9
Teleop133.0
End30.9
Second
185.00.1
185.2185.1
Auto21.7
Teleop145.5
End17.4
red by 0.9
184.10.4
183.4183.8
Auto30.2
Teleop132.4
End25.0
Third
2676
#26
107.90.1
108.1108.0
Auto17.0
Teleop80.0
End11.7
blue by 32.3
5555
#23
140.20.0
140.3140.3
Auto20.1
Teleop106.7
End13.1