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Red289
6099138.7
5555140.2
653293.1
Blue283
547896.4
4961157.5
910152.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2233190100400500600289283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5555
#23
140.21.1
123.2124.3
Auto20.1
Teleop106.7
End13.1
blue by 17.3
4961
#13
157.50.0
159.0159.0
Auto23.7
Teleop119.4
End16.4
Second
6099
#12
138.70.0
136.1136.1
Auto16.9
Teleop103.7
End20.8
blue by 14.0
910
#29
152.60.1
156.6156.5
Auto20.7
Teleop116.3
End16.8
Third
6532
#37
93.11.0
98.197.1
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End4.7
blue by 3.3
5478
#20
96.40.7
92.793.4
Auto11.4
Teleop81.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed