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Red116
4815119.2
3302104.0
2224106.0
Blue414
4362185.0
7147101.5
6120135.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123520100300400500600700800116414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4815
#33
119.20.2
125.4125.2
Auto13.9
Teleop86.3
End21.5
blue by 65.8
185.01.8
167.2169.0
Auto21.7
Teleop145.5
End17.4
Second
2224
#14
106.00.8
101.2102.0
Auto18.6
Teleop77.3
End11.5
blue by 29.6
6120
#31
135.612.0
89.9101.9
Auto14.7
Teleop103.9
End13.1
Third
3302
#39
104.00.6
113.9113.2
Auto14.6
Teleop77.9
End11.9
red by 2.4
7147
#35
101.51.3
93.594.8
Auto17.4
Teleop79.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed