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Red229
910152.6
2337184.1
2851155.0
Blue385
4362185.0
4961157.5
3539174.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317350150200250300400450500229385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.10.6
173.5172.9
Auto30.2
Teleop132.4
End25.0
blue by 0.9
185.02.3
169.0171.2
Auto21.7
Teleop145.5
End17.4
Second
2851
#19
155.00.3
144.8145.1
Auto20.7
Teleop119.7
End16.4
blue by 19.2
174.11.8
152.3154.2
Auto23.2
Teleop129.4
End20.0
Third
910
#29
152.60.1
156.5156.6
Auto20.7
Teleop116.3
End16.8
blue by 4.9
4961
#13
157.50.2
159.0159.1
Auto23.7
Teleop119.4
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed