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Red317
6566106.8
4961157.5
68159.5
Blue315
2676107.9
5460186.2
469147.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330304100200400500317315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#24
159.50.5
158.9158.4
Auto24.5
Teleop108.6
End25.7
blue by 26.8
186.21.5
171.0172.5
Auto22.9
Teleop133.0
End30.9
Second
4961
#13
157.50.4
159.1159.5
Auto23.7
Teleop119.4
End16.4
red by 10.3
469
#22
147.20.5
137.1137.5
Auto15.2
Teleop104.4
End27.4
Third
6566
#17
106.81.6
102.5104.1
Auto14.7
Teleop86.8
End4.6
blue by 1.1
2676
#26
107.90.8
110.1111.0
Auto17.0
Teleop80.0
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned