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Red164
2224106.0
68159.5
7147101.5
Blue410
481199.5
5460186.2
5436171.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1854150100300500600700164410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#24
159.50.2
158.2157.9
Auto24.5
Teleop108.6
End25.7
blue by 26.8
186.22.2
174.2176.4
Auto22.9
Teleop133.0
End30.9
Second
2224
#14
106.00.3
101.8102.1
Auto18.6
Teleop77.3
End11.5
blue by 65.3
171.31.8
166.5168.3
Auto20.1
Teleop125.5
End26.8
Third
7147
#35
101.50.5
99.499.9
Auto17.4
Teleop79.3
End6.4
red by 2.0
4811
#28
99.50.9
103.6102.7
Auto16.1
Teleop78.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsEarned