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Red278
3302104.0
259195.0
2337184.1
Blue209
653293.1
5436171.3
5756113.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2493070100200400500600278209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.10.8
171.5172.3
Auto30.2
Teleop132.4
End25.0
red by 12.8
171.32.1
168.3170.4
Auto20.1
Teleop125.5
End26.8
Second
3302
#39
104.01.2
109.3108.1
Auto14.6
Teleop77.9
End11.9
blue by 9.5
5756
#34
113.50.3
113.5113.7
Auto15.5
Teleop86.4
End13.3
Third
2591
#21
95.00.6
91.691.0
Auto16.0
Teleop74.3
End5.2
red by 1.9
6532
#37
93.10.8
95.794.9
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed