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Red347
6120135.6
653293.1
2960170.0
Blue166
7147101.5
3632105.7
5436171.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3212830100200400500600700347166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#11
170.00.5
166.7167.1
Auto24.8
Teleop129.8
End15.2
blue by 1.3
171.31.2
170.4171.6
Auto20.1
Teleop125.5
End26.8
Second
6120
#31
135.63.0
130.9133.9
Auto14.7
Teleop103.9
End13.1
red by 29.9
3632
#36
105.70.1
107.3107.4
Auto13.4
Teleop78.5
End16.2
Third
6532
#37
93.11.0
94.993.8
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End4.7
blue by 8.4
7147
#35
101.50.3
100.3100.6
Auto17.4
Teleop79.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed