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Red298
280112.6
5555140.2
308167.5
Blue401
6099138.7
5498125.9
5436171.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288372100200500600700298401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#8
167.52.4
157.4159.8
Auto20.4
Teleop112.8
End37.3
blue by 3.8
171.30.2
171.6171.8
Auto20.1
Teleop125.5
End26.8
Second
5555
#23
140.21.6
133.6135.3
Auto20.1
Teleop106.7
End13.1
red by 1.5
6099
#12
138.70.5
138.5138.0
Auto16.9
Teleop103.7
End20.8
Third
280
#38
112.61.3
114.7113.3
Auto16.8
Teleop86.7
End10.3
blue by 13.3
5498
#30
125.91.0
123.8124.8
Auto18.1
Teleop93.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed