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Red287
245197.8
2048100.3
7178134.6
Blue319
2337184.1
4810130.5
5555140.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295359200400500600287319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#18
197.80.8
197.8197.0
Auto19.7
Teleop147.2
End30.9
red by 13.7
184.12.4
175.5177.9
Auto30.2
Teleop132.4
End25.0
Second
7178
#16
134.60.9
131.1132.0
Auto15.4
Teleop104.9
End12.0
blue by 5.6
5555
#23
140.21.8
135.3137.1
Auto20.1
Teleop106.7
End13.1
Third
2048
#25
100.30.4
98.298.6
Auto16.1
Teleop74.0
End14.4
blue by 30.2
4810
#10
130.50.7
127.1127.9
Auto17.8
Teleop98.2
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed