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Red371
4815119.2
4810130.5
5756113.5
Blue372
3539174.1
6099138.7
547896.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229360100200300400500600371372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4810
#10
130.51.0
128.7129.7
Auto17.8
Teleop98.2
End14.9
blue by 43.7
174.10.5
172.2172.7
Auto23.2
Teleop129.4
End20.0
Second
4815
#33
119.20.7
120.0119.2
Auto13.9
Teleop86.3
End21.5
blue by 19.4
6099
#12
138.70.2
138.5138.4
Auto16.9
Teleop103.7
End20.8
Third
5756
#34
113.50.2
113.7113.5
Auto15.5
Teleop86.4
End13.3
red by 17.1
5478
#20
96.40.3
96.296.4
Auto11.4
Teleop81.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed