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Red160
481199.5
2676107.9
5498125.9
Blue350
2851155.0
280112.6
70172.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2203510100300400500600700160350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5498
#30
125.90.4
120.8121.2
Auto18.1
Teleop93.3
End14.8
blue by 46.9
70
#2
172.80.3
160.0159.6
Auto23.7
Teleop125.7
End24.4
Second
2676
#26
107.90.4
109.6110.0
Auto17.0
Teleop80.0
End11.7
blue by 47.1
2851
#19
155.00.1
144.8144.8
Auto20.7
Teleop119.7
End16.4
Third
4811
#28
99.50.6
107.8107.2
Auto16.1
Teleop78.9
End3.8
blue by 13.1
280
#38
112.60.3
118.1117.7
Auto16.8
Teleop86.7
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed