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Red419
4362185.0
67210.2
2676107.9
Blue252
245197.8
5436171.3
2224106.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379326200300500600700419252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
210.20.7
206.8207.5
Auto28.0
Teleop137.2
End47.9
red by 12.4
245
#18
197.80.2
197.4197.6
Auto19.7
Teleop147.2
End30.9
Second
185.00.2
185.5185.3
Auto21.7
Teleop145.5
End17.4
red by 13.7
171.30.2
171.8171.6
Auto20.1
Teleop125.5
End26.8
Third
2676
#26
107.90.2
108.6108.4
Auto17.0
Teleop80.0
End11.7
red by 1.8
2224
#14
106.00.3
105.6105.8
Auto18.6
Teleop77.3
End11.5