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Red358
2075150.1
1918196.6
5247126.8
Blue159
1711133.1
6087147.4
5424143.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387290100200500600700358159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.60.8
194.5195.3
Auto20.8
Teleop147.0
End28.6
red by 49.3
147.40.4
146.5146.9
Auto18.5
Teleop107.1
End23.0
Second
2075
#15
150.10.1
149.8150.0
Auto19.9
Teleop115.0
End14.0
red by 6.8
5424
#21
143.30.1
143.1143.2
Auto19.7
Teleop106.9
End16.7
Third
5247
#28
126.80.3
127.8127.5
Auto12.6
Teleop99.5
End13.8
blue by 6.4
1711
#29
133.10.5
131.9132.4
Auto15.0
Teleop106.9
End13.5