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Red389
2075150.1
1918196.6
5247126.8
Blue327
4376131.9
3688159.7
3618130.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381283200500600389327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.60.8
191.3192.1
Auto20.8
Teleop147.0
End28.6
red by 37.0
3688
#11
159.70.1
159.9159.8
Auto22.8
Teleop121.5
End13.8
Second
2075
#15
150.10.0
149.8149.8
Auto19.9
Teleop115.0
End14.0
red by 18.1
4376
#19
131.90.8
130.5131.2
Auto14.0
Teleop103.8
End14.9
Third
5247
#28
126.80.6
129.9129.2
Auto12.6
Teleop99.5
End13.8
blue by 3.5
3618
#23
130.20.4
131.0130.6
Auto16.7
Teleop100.6
End10.6