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Red358
5560143.7
3688159.7
6066110.4
Blue202
6087147.4
1711133.1
556299.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102770100200400500600700800358202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#11
159.713.1
101.0114.2
Auto22.8
Teleop121.5
End13.8
red by 12.3
147.415.2
82.297.3
Auto18.5
Teleop107.1
End23.0
Second
5560
#10
143.715.2
81.997.1
Auto15.9
Teleop112.6
End16.3
red by 10.5
1711
#29
133.113.9
93.4107.3
Auto15.0
Teleop106.9
End13.5
Third
6066
#35
110.414.7
86.8101.4
Auto13.4
Teleop89.1
End6.3
red by 11.2
5562
#36
99.216.6
69.085.6
Auto11.7
Teleop78.9
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed