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Red180
5424143.3
6122144.6
659992.3
Blue341
7155125.3
1918196.6
51127.1
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2353280100200400500600180341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6122
#12
144.67.4
98.1105.5
Auto16.0
Teleop106.0
End25.9
blue by 52.0
196.67.9
128.9136.8
Auto20.8
Teleop147.0
End28.6
Second
5424
#21
143.310.7
103.5114.2
Auto19.7
Teleop106.9
End16.7
red by 16.2
51
#22
127.13.3
116.4119.7
Auto15.2
Teleop97.9
End16.0
Third
6599
#40
92.36.2
88.294.4
Auto14.5
Teleop76.2
End1.1
blue by 33.1
7155
#18
125.311.6
90.7102.3
Auto15.8
Teleop92.1
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed