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Red128
4398124.9
5183104.1
51127.1
Blue379
2075150.1
6087147.4
1896116.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263284100200400500128379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#22
127.13.5
119.7123.2
Auto15.2
Teleop97.9
End16.0
blue by 23.0
2075
#15
150.11.3
129.0130.2
Auto19.9
Teleop115.0
End14.0
Second
4398
#24
124.93.4
111.9115.2
Auto13.9
Teleop93.0
End17.9
blue by 22.4
147.43.8
112.6116.4
Auto18.5
Teleop107.1
End23.0
Third
5183
#31
104.11.6
98.9100.5
Auto12.0
Teleop80.4
End11.9
blue by 12.0
1896
#17
116.22.2
99.7101.9
Auto14.9
Teleop89.6
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed