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Red349
1918196.6
5424143.3
1711133.1
Blue149
4376131.9
4956114.6
6552102.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3422140100300400500600700349149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.66.6
136.8143.4
Auto20.8
Teleop147.0
End28.6
red by 64.7
4376
#19
131.94.6
114.9119.5
Auto14.0
Teleop103.8
End14.9
Second
5424
#21
143.36.5
114.2120.7
Auto19.7
Teleop106.9
End16.7
red by 28.7
4956
#33
114.61.7
108.0109.7
Auto15.4
Teleop90.9
End6.8
Third
1711
#29
133.10.6
118.9119.5
Auto15.0
Teleop106.9
End13.5
red by 30.9
6552
#37
102.30.0
102.9103.0
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed