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Red291
3603136.5
4983143.3
556299.2
Blue166
659992.3
6121131.6
5086134.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2442830100200400500600291166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.32.9
110.6113.5
Auto18.4
Teleop110.2
End18.6
red by 8.8
5086
#14
134.55.4
117.6122.9
Auto13.5
Teleop104.3
End18.1
Second
3603
#13
136.54.5
109.8114.3
Auto14.4
Teleop102.5
End19.9
red by 4.9
131.63.5
115.5118.9
Auto19.2
Teleop101.7
End10.7
Third
5562
#36
99.21.5
99.2100.7
Auto11.7
Teleop78.9
End6.7
red by 7.0
6599
#40
92.33.6
94.498.0
Auto14.5
Teleop76.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed