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Red279
6112134.2
1596137.3
7155125.3
Blue479
3688159.7
3767135.5
1918196.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2353460100200300400500600279479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.31.3
120.1121.4
Auto18.6
Teleop105.1
End14.6
blue by 59.3
196.65.7
143.4149.1
Auto20.8
Teleop147.0
End28.6
Second
134.26.5
97.9104.4
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End12.0
blue by 25.5
3688
#11
159.74.9
132.4137.3
Auto22.8
Teleop121.5
End13.8
Third
7155
#18
125.39.0
102.3111.3
Auto15.8
Teleop92.1
End16.0
blue by 10.2
135.53.1
108.2111.2
Auto15.9
Teleop105.9
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed