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Red319
4398124.9
4392159.0
4956114.6
Blue103
5560143.7
556299.2
660095.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274287100200400500319103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.06.7
124.9131.6
Auto14.6
Teleop124.9
End20.2
red by 15.4
5560
#10
143.76.3
126.1132.4
Auto15.9
Teleop112.6
End16.3
Second
4398
#24
124.90.8
115.2116.1
Auto13.9
Teleop93.0
End17.9
red by 25.7
5562
#36
99.23.3
100.7104.0
Auto11.7
Teleop78.9
End6.7
Third
4956
#33
114.60.6
109.7110.2
Auto15.4
Teleop90.9
End6.8
red by 18.9
6600
#34
95.75.3
101.4106.8
Auto12.6
Teleop73.7
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed