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Red123
4377136.8
6627111.1
6552102.3
Blue175
5183104.1
6097119.4
659992.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3331980100300400500600123175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#30
136.83.1
130.8133.9
Auto16.4
Teleop97.6
End21.4
red by 17.5
6097
#27
119.40.1
109.9110.0
Auto16.6
Teleop96.0
End7.0
Second
6627
#39
111.13.7
104.0107.8
Auto12.9
Teleop88.8
End9.0
red by 7.0
5183
#31
104.10.3
100.5100.2
Auto12.0
Teleop80.4
End11.9
Third
6552
#37
102.31.9
102.4104.4
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End17.3
red by 10.0
6599
#40
92.31.1
98.897.7
Auto14.5
Teleop76.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed