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Red231
6112134.2
4376131.9
1711133.1
Blue298
3688159.7
6121131.6
1596137.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653370100200300400500600231298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.25.0
109.9114.9
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End12.0
blue by 25.5
3688
#11
159.75.5
143.6149.1
Auto22.8
Teleop121.5
End13.8
Second
1711
#29
133.10.6
121.2121.8
Auto15.0
Teleop106.9
End13.5
blue by 4.2
137.32.1
121.4123.5
Auto18.6
Teleop105.1
End14.6
Third
4376
#19
131.93.1
122.0125.1
Auto14.0
Teleop103.8
End14.9
red by 0.4
131.62.7
119.6122.3
Auto19.2
Teleop101.7
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed