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Red151
7208104.0
6552102.3
51127.1
Blue355
5086134.5
3603136.5
4956114.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242295100200400500151355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#22
127.10.8
125.8126.6
Auto15.2
Teleop97.9
End16.0
blue by 9.5
3603
#13
136.50.5
125.5126.1
Auto14.4
Teleop102.5
End19.9
Second
7208
#20
104.04.9
95.3100.2
Auto15.6
Teleop81.7
End5.6
blue by 30.6
5086
#14
134.50.3
126.5126.8
Auto13.5
Teleop104.3
End18.1
Third
6552
#37
102.31.8
103.6101.8
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End17.3
blue by 12.3
4956
#33
114.60.1
115.1115.2
Auto15.4
Teleop90.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed