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Red322
4376131.9
7208104.0
6121131.6
Blue102
5183104.1
5247126.8
6552102.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132130100400500322102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4376
#19
131.90.5
127.9128.4
Auto14.0
Teleop103.8
End14.9
red by 5.2
5247
#28
126.80.3
131.8131.5
Auto12.6
Teleop99.5
End13.8
Second
131.60.6
131.2131.8
Auto19.2
Teleop101.7
End10.7
red by 27.5
5183
#31
104.11.4
102.0103.4
Auto12.0
Teleop80.4
End11.9
Third
7208
#20
104.00.6
102.9103.5
Auto15.6
Teleop81.7
End5.6
red by 1.7
6552
#37
102.31.2
100.3101.5
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned5%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed