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Red330
6097119.4
1596137.3
6087147.4
Blue230
3603136.5
5424143.3
4377136.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3083360100200400500600700800330230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.41.7
141.6143.3
Auto18.5
Teleop107.1
End23.0
red by 4.1
5424
#21
143.30.5
143.1143.6
Auto19.7
Teleop106.9
End16.7
Second
137.32.2
132.3134.5
Auto18.6
Teleop105.1
End14.6
red by 0.5
4377
#30
136.80.5
137.5137.9
Auto16.4
Teleop97.6
End21.4
Third
6097
#27
119.42.4
114.9117.4
Auto16.6
Teleop96.0
End7.0
blue by 17.2
3603
#13
136.53.0
131.3134.3
Auto14.4
Teleop102.5
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed