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Red298
1596137.3
4398124.9
7208104.0
Blue197
6075105.9
659992.3
550496.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3371790100300400500600298197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.31.8
134.5136.3
Auto18.6
Teleop105.1
End14.6
red by 31.4
6075
#38
105.91.2
107.1105.9
Auto15.8
Teleop79.6
End13.0
Second
4398
#24
124.91.4
123.5124.9
Auto13.9
Teleop93.0
End17.9
red by 28.0
5504
#25
96.91.0
96.096.9
Auto16.0
Teleop76.1
End6.1
Third
7208
#20
104.00.1
104.1104.0
Auto15.6
Teleop81.7
End5.6
red by 11.7
6599
#40
92.31.0
93.392.3
Auto14.5
Teleop76.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed