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Red306
68157.4
4130159.4
5048130.4
Blue265
3539149.6
1250138.6
5263141.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367306100200400500600700306265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.40.4
158.0158.4
Auto17.6
Teleop125.4
End18.1
red by 9.7
3539
#17
149.60.3
149.3149.6
Auto20.4
Teleop109.3
End21.2
Second
68
#8
157.40.7
155.0155.7
Auto22.4
Teleop113.8
End23.4
red by 16.4
5263
#16
141.00.4
140.6141.0
Auto22.4
Teleop105.6
End12.7
Third
5048
#26
130.40.0
130.4130.4
Auto17.9
Teleop102.3
End12.3
blue by 8.3
1250
#12
138.60.2
138.5138.6
Auto20.9
Teleop106.1
End10.6