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Red171
4961159.6
2851143.7
5860128.1
Blue381
3770166.0
5907157.4
6117136.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308372100200400500600171381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.60.1
159.7159.6
Auto24.0
Teleop120.5
End12.7
blue by 6.5
3770
#10
166.00.4
163.6164.0
Auto19.6
Teleop120.2
End29.0
Second
143.70.5
143.2143.7
Auto18.0
Teleop108.7
End16.7
blue by 13.7
157.40.4
155.1155.4
Auto20.7
Teleop121.2
End14.1
Third
5860
#30
128.10.0
128.1128.1
Auto15.0
Teleop94.0
End19.9
blue by 8.6
6117
#23
136.70.3
134.7135.0
Auto19.0
Teleop102.2
End16.2