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Qual 192018 FIM District Waterford Event
Red230
2851143.7
107144.2
6642107.3
Blue384
3668153.2
5517158.5
1250138.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301312100150200250350400450500230384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#15
144.25.0
128.8→133.8
Auto21.6
Teleop109.3
End13.1
blue by 14.3
5517
#5
158.50.4
142.5→142.1
Auto18.6
Teleop112.7
End27.5
Second
2851
#3
143.76.8
114.6→121.4
Auto18.0
Teleop108.7
End16.7
blue by 9.5
3668
#18
153.28.0
118.2→126.2
Auto18.1
Teleop113.3
End20.3
Third
6642
#40
107.33.0
99.4→102.4
Auto16.2
Teleop80.4
End5.3
blue by 31.3
1250
#12
138.65.6
116.7→122.3
Auto20.9
Teleop106.1
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed