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Red258
3668153.2
5263141.0
2137149.2
Blue431
201151.4
4961159.6
5155176.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303328100200400500600258431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#18
153.213.6
96.3110.0
Auto18.1
Teleop113.3
End20.3
blue by 23.3
176.512.8
104.6117.3
Auto21.1
Teleop128.5
End25.6
Second
2137
#27
149.212.4
108.5120.9
Auto19.7
Teleop107.8
End23.1
blue by 10.4
159.613.5
97.8111.2
Auto24.0
Teleop120.5
End12.7
Third
5263
#16
141.00.2
129.3129.5
Auto22.4
Teleop105.6
End12.7
blue by 10.4
201
#6
151.413.8
95.0108.8
Auto19.3
Teleop111.4
End22.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed