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Red151
107144.2
5662110.7
6093120.3
Blue376
3770166.0
6019120.6
1139.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284285200250300350151376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#15
144.22.3
135.1137.4
Auto21.6
Teleop109.3
End13.1
blue by 21.8
3770
#10
166.03.8
136.9140.6
Auto19.6
Teleop120.2
End29.0
Second
6093
#38
120.31.9
114.7116.6
Auto16.5
Teleop90.0
End15.0
blue by 19.4
1
#13
139.70.4
136.2135.8
Auto15.9
Teleop115.8
End7.4
Third
5662
#39
110.71.3
113.9115.3
Auto14.9
Teleop87.0
End8.8
blue by 9.9
6019
#21
120.60.6
107.6108.2
Auto15.0
Teleop95.1
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed