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Red171
6642107.3
7220107.4
5229124.6
Blue396
6091107.9
201151.4
5263141.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2363140100200400500171396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5229
#25
124.61.3
120.2121.5
Auto17.3
Teleop90.0
End15.9
blue by 26.8
201
#6
151.44.0
127.8131.9
Auto19.3
Teleop111.4
End22.1
Second
7220
#35
107.41.2
95.796.8
Auto14.9
Teleop83.4
End11.0
blue by 33.6
5263
#16
141.00.4
129.1129.6
Auto22.4
Teleop105.6
End12.7
Third
6642
#40
107.30.4
102.5102.9
Auto16.2
Teleop80.4
End5.3
blue by 0.5
6091
#24
107.91.0
99.4100.4
Auto12.6
Teleop80.8
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed