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Red381
3770166.0
5053148.8
2851143.7
Blue214
6642107.3
5048130.4
1076118.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363225100200300400500600381214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#10
166.04.0
140.6144.6
Auto19.6
Teleop120.2
End29.0
red by 35.6
5048
#26
130.42.5
138.0135.5
Auto17.9
Teleop102.3
End12.3
Second
5053
#14
148.81.8
139.3141.2
Auto18.3
Teleop112.3
End19.6
red by 30.2
1076
#28
118.62.6
109.9112.5
Auto15.0
Teleop87.0
End17.8
Third
143.71.5
126.0127.5
Auto18.0
Teleop108.7
End16.7
red by 36.4
6642
#40
107.30.5
102.9103.5
Auto16.2
Teleop80.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed