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Red255
5229124.6
3668153.2
6091107.9
Blue328
4390108.5
468123.0
5155176.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953020100200400500600700255328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#18
153.24.9
140.5145.4
Auto18.1
Teleop113.3
End20.3
blue by 23.3
176.56.7
149.8156.5
Auto21.1
Teleop128.5
End25.6
Second
5229
#25
124.60.9
121.5122.5
Auto17.3
Teleop90.0
End15.9
red by 1.7
468
#33
123.00.1
120.2120.1
Auto15.6
Teleop88.5
End17.6
Third
6091
#24
107.91.8
100.4102.2
Auto12.6
Teleop80.8
End15.7
blue by 0.7
4390
#36
108.50.2
108.3108.6
Auto14.7
Teleop83.1
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned9%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed