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Red282
5662110.7
7168100.8
5517158.5
Blue285
240108.1
201151.4
1139.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2393290100200300400500600282285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.51.2
143.0144.3
Auto18.6
Teleop112.7
End27.5
red by 7.0
201
#6
151.45.6
131.9137.5
Auto19.3
Teleop111.4
End22.1
Second
5662
#39
110.72.0
115.3113.3
Auto14.9
Teleop87.0
End8.8
blue by 28.9
1
#13
139.70.3
135.8136.0
Auto15.9
Teleop115.8
End7.4
Third
7168
#34
100.80.5
91.792.2
Auto13.9
Teleop77.2
End12.8
blue by 7.3
240
#20
108.12.1
111.8109.7
Auto15.2
Teleop82.1
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed