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Red106
2137149.2
4390108.5
6091107.9
Blue397
4961159.6
1250138.6
6117136.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263354100200300400500600106397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#27
149.24.6
143.2147.8
Auto19.7
Teleop107.8
End23.1
blue by 10.4
159.64.6
147.9152.5
Auto24.0
Teleop120.5
End12.7
Second
4390
#36
108.52.4
108.6110.9
Auto14.7
Teleop83.1
End13.3
blue by 30.1
1250
#12
138.63.6
132.9136.5
Auto20.9
Teleop106.1
End10.6
Third
6091
#24
107.91.6
102.2103.8
Auto12.6
Teleop80.8
End15.7
blue by 28.8
6117
#23
136.71.8
124.0125.8
Auto19.0
Teleop102.2
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed