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Red279
6344126.3
5674176.1
4130159.4
Blue287
4390108.5
5229124.6
2851143.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3262660100200400500600279287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.114.7
86.6101.3
Auto18.9
Teleop129.6
End24.8
red by 32.4
143.714.4
89.4103.7
Auto18.0
Teleop108.7
End16.7
Second
159.414.5
88.5102.9
Auto17.6
Teleop125.4
End18.1
red by 34.7
5229
#25
124.615.3
81.296.5
Auto17.3
Teleop90.0
End15.9
Third
6344
#32
126.312.2
109.5121.8
Auto16.3
Teleop99.2
End10.4
red by 17.7
4390
#36
108.516.7
68.284.9
Auto14.7
Teleop83.1
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed