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Red310
468123.0
68157.4
4779134.6
Blue243
5229124.6
5662110.7
5053148.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317299150200250350400450310243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#8
157.40.7
151.0151.6
Auto22.4
Teleop113.8
End23.4
red by 8.7
5053
#14
148.80.3
145.5145.9
Auto18.3
Teleop112.3
End19.6
Second
4779
#11
134.62.1
124.4126.5
Auto19.5
Teleop99.5
End16.2
red by 9.9
5229
#25
124.61.1
124.8125.8
Auto17.3
Teleop90.0
End15.9
Third
468
#33
123.00.8
121.7122.4
Auto15.6
Teleop88.5
End17.6
red by 12.2
5662
#39
110.70.2
113.3113.5
Auto14.9
Teleop87.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed