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Red408
6091107.9
5517158.5
5155176.5
Blue190
1250138.6
5662110.7
7109105.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3992240100300500600408190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.52.8
172.2175.0
Auto21.1
Teleop128.5
End25.6
red by 37.9
1250
#12
138.60.9
140.4139.5
Auto20.9
Teleop106.1
End10.6
Second
158.52.1
149.5151.6
Auto18.6
Teleop112.7
End27.5
red by 47.8
5662
#39
110.70.7
113.5112.8
Auto14.9
Teleop87.0
End8.8
Third
6091
#24
107.91.4
104.9106.2
Auto12.6
Teleop80.8
End15.7
red by 2.4
7109
#31
105.52.1
99.9102.1
Auto13.8
Teleop83.3
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed