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Red266
1076118.6
2137149.2
5229124.6
Blue409
5517158.5
107144.2
5860128.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299373100200400500600266409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#27
149.20.0
149.2149.3
Auto19.7
Teleop107.8
End23.1
blue by 9.3
158.52.0
153.3155.3
Auto18.6
Teleop112.7
End27.5
Second
5229
#25
124.60.1
126.2126.1
Auto17.3
Teleop90.0
End15.9
blue by 19.5
107
#15
144.21.4
141.8143.2
Auto21.6
Teleop109.3
End13.1
Third
1076
#28
118.60.0
118.7118.6
Auto15.0
Teleop87.0
End17.8
blue by 9.5
5860
#30
128.10.2
128.0127.8
Auto15.0
Teleop94.0
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed