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Red410
6877112.5
68157.4
201151.4
Blue321
5048130.4
3770166.0
4390108.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342298100200400500410321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#8
157.41.4
152.8154.2
Auto22.4
Teleop113.8
End23.4
blue by 8.6
3770
#10
166.01.4
161.5162.9
Auto19.6
Teleop120.2
End29.0
Second
201
#6
151.40.6
149.8150.4
Auto19.3
Teleop111.4
End22.1
red by 21.1
5048
#26
130.40.6
131.1130.5
Auto17.9
Teleop102.3
End12.3
Third
6877
#29
112.50.5
112.0112.5
Auto14.1
Teleop84.9
End16.3
red by 4.0
4390
#36
108.50.6
109.1108.5
Auto14.7
Teleop83.1
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed