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Semifinal 1-12018 FIM District Waterford Event
Red126
5155176.5
5674176.1
5229124.6
Blue413
4779134.6
5517158.5
5053148.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3593380100200400500600700800126413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5155
#4
176.50.1
177.5→177.4
Auto21.1
Teleop128.5
End25.6
red by 18.0
5517
#5
158.50.6
156.7→157.3
Auto18.6
Teleop112.7
End27.5
Second
5674
#1
176.10.3
175.0→175.4
Auto18.9
Teleop129.6
End24.8
red by 27.3
5053
#14
148.80.4
147.6→148.0
Auto18.3
Teleop112.3
End19.6
Third
5229
#25
124.60.2
125.9→125.7
Auto17.3
Teleop90.0
End15.9
blue by 9.9
4779
#11
134.60.6
132.7→133.3
Auto19.5
Teleop99.5
End16.2