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Semifinal 1-22018 FIM District Waterford Event
Red398
5155176.5
5674176.1
5229124.6
Blue368
4779134.6
5517158.5
5053148.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344347150200250300400450500550398368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5155
#4
176.50.3
177.4→177.1
Auto21.1
Teleop128.5
End25.6
red by 18.0
5517
#5
158.50.6
157.3→157.9
Auto18.6
Teleop112.7
End27.5
Second
5674
#1
176.10.1
175.4→175.5
Auto18.9
Teleop129.6
End24.8
red by 27.3
5053
#14
148.80.4
148.0→148.4
Auto18.3
Teleop112.3
End19.6
Third
5229
#25
124.60.3
125.7→125.4
Auto17.3
Teleop90.0
End15.9
blue by 9.9
4779
#11
134.60.7
133.3→134.0
Auto19.5
Teleop99.5
End16.2