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Red299
68157.4
4130159.4
3668153.2
Blue354
3770166.0
5907157.4
6117136.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344355100200300400500600299354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.40.3
159.1159.4
Auto17.6
Teleop125.4
End18.1
blue by 6.6
3770
#10
166.00.4
164.8165.2
Auto19.6
Teleop120.2
End29.0
Second
68
#8
157.40.5
156.9157.4
Auto22.4
Teleop113.8
End23.4
Level
157.40.4
156.3156.6
Auto20.7
Teleop121.2
End14.1
Third
3668
#18
153.20.5
153.7153.2
Auto18.1
Teleop113.3
End20.3
red by 16.5
6117
#23
136.70.3
135.7136.0
Auto19.0
Teleop102.2
End16.2