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Red415
4004137.0
141154.7
2054136.9
Blue242
3572136.5
3546177.4
2405123.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332337250300350400450415242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#5
154.70.3
153.9154.2
Auto21.5
Teleop122.4
End12.4
blue by 22.7
177.40.2
177.2177.4
Auto24.9
Teleop131.9
End24.0
Second
4004
#15
137.00.7
134.9135.6
Auto16.2
Teleop108.1
End14.3
red by 0.5
3572
#10
136.50.1
136.3136.5
Auto17.2
Teleop105.6
End14.0
Third
2054
#27
136.90.1
136.6136.7
Auto14.8
Teleop102.5
End20.3
red by 13.5
2405
#17
123.41.0
122.4123.4
Auto15.0
Teleop89.0
End22.3