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Red231
5675166.3
3098178.3
5610111.7
Blue533
74160.2
5980157.7
6548171.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343353250300400450500231533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.30.4
177.2177.7
Auto19.8
Teleop136.8
End25.4
red by 6.4
6548
#22
171.90.1
172.0172.1
Auto21.1
Teleop122.5
End27.0
Second
166.30.1
166.1166.2
Auto23.7
Teleop125.6
End17.8
red by 6.0
74
#12
160.20.6
156.9157.5
Auto20.8
Teleop122.7
End17.4
Third
5610
#37
111.70.5
113.4112.8
Auto15.5
Teleop85.0
End7.7
blue by 46.0
157.70.7
154.0154.7
Auto24.3
Teleop110.5
End23.4